The Los Angeles Chargers (8-4) go on the road to play the Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) in a pivotal AFC West affair on Sunday Night Football. This is the second game of the year between these division rivals. In Week 4, the Chiefs outlasted the Chargers, 17-10. Kansas City has beaten the Chargers six times in a row dating back to 2021. The Chiefs have also won nine straight at home but they’re 0-6 against the spread in their last six games.
Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Chargers vs. Chiefs odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 43. The Chiefs are -233 money line favorites (risk $233 to win $100), while the Chargers are +191 underdogs (risk $100 to win $191). Before locking in any Chargers vs. Chiefs picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 24-10 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 204-138 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 58-31 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
Now, the model has simulated Chargers vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and NFL betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Chargers vs. Chiefs:
- Chiefs vs. Chargers spread: Kansas City -4.5
- Chiefs vs. Chargers over/under: 43 points
- Chiefs vs. Chargers money line: Kansas City -233, Los Angeles +191
- LAC: Chargers are 8-4 against the spread this season.
- KC: Chiefs are 5-7 against the spread this season.
- Chiefs vs. Chargers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Chiefs vs. Chargers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs have a solid defensive unit, ranking eighth in the NFL in total defense (311.9) and scoring defense (19.6) but third in run defense (87.8). Linebacker Nick Bolton is an instinctive defender in the middle of the field. Bolton has 84 total tackles, nine tackles for loss, and three pass deflections. In his last outing, he had 11 total tackles. Defensive tackle Chris Jones has a range of moves that cause distribution in the backfield. This season, Jones has 30 total tackles, seven tackles for loss, and five sacks.
Offensively, the Chiefs are led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has thrown seven touchdown passes over his last three games and is completing 68.4% of his passes for 2,979 yards. Mahomes’ effectiveness as a passer is a big reason why Kansas City is off to a red-hot start this year. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Chargers can cover
Quarterback Justin Herbert is an underrated athlete who is one of the best pure throwers in the NFL. Herbert takes care of the football and makes any throw needed on the field. The Oregon product has thrown for 2,551 passing yards with 13 passing touchdowns and just one interception. He’s gone over 200 passing yards in six of the last eight games.
The Chargers are 10th in the NFL in pass defense (206.4) and first in scoring defense (15.7). They’ve allowed 20 or fewer points in 10 games this season. Safety Derwin James Jr. is a key to this defense and is second on the team in total tackles (75), with five TFLs, 2.5 sacks, six pass deflections, and an interception. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Chargers vs. Chiefs picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, projecting the teams to combine for 42 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks.
So who wins Chargers vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Chiefs spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
