2024 U.S. Open odds, golf picks: Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy predictions from model that won the Masters, PGA

The best of the best will compete at the 2024 U.S. Open. The third major championship of the year tees off Thursday, June 13, at Pinehurst No. 2 in North Carolina. Wyndham Clark is the defending champion and with another U.S. Open victory, he’ll become the first golfer to repeat since Brooks Koepka accomplished the feat in 2017-18. Clark has one win and two runner-up finishes this season, but he’s missed the cut in both majors. Clark is 22-1 to repeat according to the latest 2024 U.S. Open odds. Scottie Scheffler is the 4-1 U.S. Open 2024 favorite, with Rory McIlroy (9-1), Xander Schauffele (10-1), Koepka (12-1) and Jon Rahm (12-1) next in line on the PGA odds board.

Should your 2024 U.S. Open predictions include backing one of the favorites, or should you target a longshot like Jordan Spieth (35-1) or Rickie Fowler (75-1)? Before locking in your 2024 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 12 majors entering the weekend, including three straight Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2024 U.S. Open is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2024 U.S. Open leaderboard.

2024 U.S. Open predictions for Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy

One shocker the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2024: Brooks Koepka (12-1), a five-time major winner and the U.S. Open champion in 2017 and 2018, struggles and barely cracks the top 10. Koepka seems to find his form heading into majors. However, he enters the 2024 U.S. Open having finished outside the top 25 in each of his last three starts in majors.

In addition, Koepka has shot over par in five of the eight rounds he’s played at majors in 2024. In total, he has shot over par in eight of his last 11 rounds at major championships. Kopeka’s lack of consistent tournament golf seems to be catching up to him, and the model sees far better value in the 2024 U.S. Open field. See who else to fade here. 

The model has also locked in its projection for Tiger Woods (125-1), a 15-time major winner. Woods has won the U.S. Open three times in his career, the most recent coming in 2008. His 15 major titles rank second all-time behind only Jack Nicklaus (18).

Woods is one of golf’s five winners of the career Grand Slam, but injuries have taken their toll on the 48-year-old. He had to withdraw from the Genesis Invitational in February and is coming off a missed cut at the PGA Championship in May. He made the cut at the Masters in April, but shot an 82 and 77 in the final two rounds to finish 60th. See where every golfer finishes here.

On the other hand, the model has examined Rory McIlroy’s (9-1) chances to win his second U.S. Open after being victorious in 2011. McIlroy has racked up 26 career victories on the PGA Tour and he’s won two of his last four starts prior to the Memorial Tournament. One of those victories came at the Zurich Classic, the PGA Tour’s only team event.

McIlroy secured a runner-up finish at the U.S. Open in 2023, but he hasn’t won a major championship since 2014 when he won the PGA Championship and the Open Championship. He secured a T-12 finish at the PGA Championship in May but his game seems to be rounding into form heading into the 2024 U.S. Open. McIlroy ranks second in driving distance (318.1), third in strokes gained: off the tee (0.861) and third in strokes gained: total (1.723). He also ranks 12th in scoring average (69.42) and 14th in birdie average (4.35). See the full U.S. Open projections from the model here.

How to make 2024 U.S. Open picks

The model is targeting three golfers with 2024 U.S. Open odds of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2024 U.S. Open picks here.

Who will win the 2024 U.S. Open, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2024 U.S. Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected U.S. Open 2024 leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 12 golf majors, including this year’s Masters and PGA Championship.

2024 U.S. Open odds, field

See the full U.S. Open 2024 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Rory McIlroy 9-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Brooks Koepka 12-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Bryson DeChambeau 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Wyndham Clark 22-1
Joaquin Niemann 25-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Max Homa 30-1
Justin Thomas 33-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Dustin Johnson 35-1
Jordan Spieth 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Shane Lowry 40-1
Sahith Theegala 40-1
Tom Kim 40-1
Tony Finau 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Jason Day 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Patrick Reed 60-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Justin Rose 65-1
Sepp Straka 70-1
Louis Oosthuizen 75-1
Abraham Ancer 75-1
Rickie Fowler 75-1
Adam Scott 75-1
Talor Gooch 75-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Daniel Berger 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Ryan Fox 125-1
J.T. Poston 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Sergio Garcia 125-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Kurt Kitayama 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Mito Pereira 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Harris English 150-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Austin Eckroat 175-1
Robert MacIntyre 175-1
Marc Leishman 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Lucas Glover 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Jason Kokrak 200-1
Harold Varner III 225-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Taylor Moore 250-1
Ben Kohles 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Aaron Wise 250-1
Francisco Molinari 350-1
Joel Dahmen 350-1
Martin Kaymer 500-1
Bernhard Langer 750-1  

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